More Budgetary Cracks Showing, Just Don't Tell Sonny

As Gov. Sonny Perdue and his fellow Republican leaders in Georgia head off to Minneapolis to party, more Georgians back home are beginning to feel the squeeze of his ordered budget cuts and reductions.  In one particularly tragic case, the Georgia War Veterans Home in Milledgeville has told residents that it will be shuttering its doors and that they'll need to find other places to live.

The assisted living facility houses veterans with special needs, many of whom were homesless prior to obtaining admission.  Programs such as this can be the casualty of across the board budget cuts when department heads look to ax one entire entity quickly instead of causing trouble by messing with the budgets of numerous internal agencies under their control.

Because Perdue's revenue estimates were too optimistic, and unless he convenes an unlikely special session of the legislature where budget writers can explicitly make their preferences known, it will be up to bureacrats to make convenient reductions that may prove to be politically unpopular.  In the case of the Veterans Home, it would probably survive a special session, but if it is shuttered that decision may be reinforced by the stark realities of this budget crisis when appropriators finally meet next January.

They'll be unwilling to come to the aid of unpopular decisions that have already sunk in if it means opening new cans of worm elsewhere.  By the way, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger of California skipped the Minneapolis GOP Convention to tend to his own homegrown budget crisis.

Expert in Disunity Weighs in on Obama

After Senator Barack Obama's well received speech to a packed house of nearly 80,000 Democratic delegates and activists at Denver's Invesco Field, Gov. Sonny Perdue may wish he had minced his words on Obama's problem with party unity.  Perdue, a former Democratic delegate from the 1996 Convention was trotted out by Sen. John McCain's campaign to weigh in on the problems Obama would have winning in a state like Georgia.  While discussing that he added in his own thoughts on the opposing party's unity.

Ironically, Perdue rode into office on the backs of disgruntled Confederate hold-outs angry at his predecessor for changing a Confederate themed flag and angry members of Georgia's teachers union.  That initial coalition was always too fragile to hold, but his actions since being elected have satisfied neither group.  In the legislature, Republican Senators have done battle on behalf of Perdue with the more unhinged House faction of the Republican party, that seems to win points for effort and moxy from the base if nothing else. 

Now Perdue, facing a $1.5 billion budget crunch, has informed cities and counties that they won't be getting an annual $400 million plus offset for local property tax payers.  Many Republican legislators worry that Democrats have an issue in November's elections that can tie the inaction that stems from a lack of unity at the Capitol into a real campaign issue by pointing out increasing local property taxes.  And county and city governments have been challenging Perdue's claims that this money doesn't effectively hold down taxes and warning property owners that they may see a second, larger tax bill later in the year, possibly before election day.

You have to hand it to the McCain campaign.  When it comes to problems with party unity, they couldn't have found a more seasoned expert than Sonny Perdue.

Who Votes in a Runoff?

As Jim Martin prepares for the General Election against Sen. Saxby Chambliss, his supporters continue to let out one of the longest sighs of relief in recent Georgia political history at his runoff victory over DeKalb County CEO Vernon Jones.  Despite Martin's win, an analysis of turnout for the primary runoff by Bill Shipp Online disproves one long held notion by many Democratic operatives here in Georgia.  Namely that African American voters don't return for a runoff.

In the July 15th primary, 48.3% of Democratic voters were African American while 49.3% were white.  Three weeks later at the August 5th runoff, the African American percentage of the electorate actually increased slightly to 48.6%.  Whites were down slightly to 48.9%.  Of the approximately 260,000 voters that returned for the runoff, African Americans actually outnumbered whites by about 3,000 voters.  A little under 75,000 new voters showed up to cast a ballot that had skipped the primary, and whites outnumbered African Americans here by 4,000.  In total, white voters outnumbered African Americans by only about 1,000.

While white voters in most rural counties as well as DeKalb and Fulton Counties have held to their longtime primary preferences and continue to vote in the Democratic primary, some white voters in North Georgia counties are continuing a move to the Republican primary.  And African American voters in suburban counties like Clayton, Cobb, Douglas, Fayette, Gwinnett, Henry, Newton and Rockdale continue to participate in local Democratic politics in higher numbers. 

Obama-McCain race closer than Bush-Gore?

Bill Shipp's picture

The early voting lines lengthen as Nov. 4 approaches. The finger-pointing becomes angrier. The Republican blame game grows louder. The polls, one by one, highlight double-digit divides between first-place Barack Obama and lagging John McCain.

Gov. Sonny Perdue and other Republican notables have dropped from sight. The odor of roasted lame duck is in the air.

Nearly every sign points to an Obama presidential victory -- not just an ordinary win, but one of historic proportions -- a sweep, if you will.

Following Russell's Flight Plan?

Bill Shipp's picture

What would you do?

Georgia’s gasoline pumps have all but run dry. Prices have soared at the few stations still in business. The state’s unemployment rate is running ahead of the national jobless rate, which is over 6 percent and rising.

The state budget has a $1.5 billion to $2 billion hole in it, thanks to some unrealistic economic forecasting and a steep dip in revenue collections. And Georgia is among the top five states in home foreclosures and personal bankruptcies.

In Georgia, it's fly, fly, fly

Bill Shipp's picture

Our governor should consider taking a page from Alaska Gov. Sarah
Palin
's playbook -- sell a state airplane or two and try to hold down
flying. With aviation fuel selling at nearly $6 a gallon, state
officials might be surprised at the savings a grounding order would
bring.

Instead, in Georgia officialdom, it's fly, fly, fly. And nothing's
too good for the upkeep of the state's fleet of planes and helicopters.
The state is spending $600,000 on a state-of-the-art hangar at Charlie
Brown Airport.

Are You Smarter Than a Georgia Voter?

Bill Shipp's picture

Let's hear it for Kathy Cox. The Georgia schools superintendent won
$1 million in Hollywood on the TV quiz show, "Are You Smarter than a
5th Grader?"

She says she plans to give some of the prize money to the state's
special-needs schools. That is truly magnanimous. It will help restore
some of the funds her predecessor stole from the state education
department to pay for a facelift and finance her campaign for governor.

Kathy deserves full credit and our congratulations for finally making Georgia look good on national TV.

How the Palin Ploy Plays Here

Bill Shipp's picture

You will never see me write again that the Republican Party is the dumb party. Corrupt maybe, or hypocritical or tobacco roadish, but never dumb.

The selection of Sarah Palin as John McCain’s running mate was the slickest tactical move I have seen in politics. It took the wind right out of the Democrats’ sails and swept Barack Obama’s name out of the headlines. As soon as Palin was announced, that hissing sound you heard was the air going out of the donkeys’ momentum.

Though, for the life of me, I cannot picture in my mind’s eye the Hillary Clinton supporter who would switch to the McCain-Palin ticket because of the perception that Sarah has replaced Hillary as the women voters’ champion. Hillary’s supporters are mostly Democrats and Independents. Sarah is an extreme Republican and a strong antidepressant for the GOP’s evangelical bloc. The right-wing church folks seemed a bit down after maverick McCain, a sometimes pro-choice guy, won the primaries and the nomination. They ought to be feeling a whole lot better now that Palin, an unconditional anti-abortionist, is on board.

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